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GoalsGetter Nikko AM NZ Cash Fund

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About the fund

This fund invests in a  selection of NZ dollar denominated cash investments and short-term  bonds that aim to protect value while at the same time providing a higher return than bank deposits.

Risk Indicator (volatility)

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Target Asset Allocation

Income 100.00%
Nikko

Summary of Nikko AM

Nikko AM, established in 1994, manages funds for a wide range of clients including charities, corporations, local governments, and individual investors. As a New Zealand-based investment manager, it benefits from the global expertise of its parent company, Nikko Asset Management, one of Asia’s largest asset managers. Led by Stuart Williams since 2023, Nikko AM actively manages New Zealand equity and fixed income assets, partnering with Goldman Sachs, NAM Europe, and ARK for global investments. Believing in active management, they seek to uncover market opportunities.

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Commentary

As of 31 March 2025

Market Overview

  • Fourth quarter GDP came in stronger than expected at +0.7% QoQ vs market expectations of +0.4%.
  • Markets are pricing an endpoint of 3-3.25% for the OCR easing cycle.
  • Short term interest rates continue to adjust downwards with markets seeing 25bps cuts to the OCR as a lock for both April and May. Rates at a 1-year term are more anchored as their focus is more on the end point of the easing cycle rather than its progression.

Fund Commentary

The fund performed well in the March quarter returning 1.18% outperforming its benchmark the 90-day Bank Bill Index which returned 1.03%.

Over the quarter the RBNZ delivered its first Monetary Policy statement of 2025 where it strongly delivered on expectations, reducing the cash rate by 50bps (to 3.75%) while maintaining a continued easing bias albeit at a more moderate pace. Somewhat surprisingly the Reserve Bank has continued to provide explicit guidance for future OCR decisions in its post statement press conference with cuts of 25bps at both April and May their central expectation. Markets have taken this to heart and priced a high probability of these cuts occurring.

With this backdrop markets reviewed a surprising strong fourth quarter GDP outturn in March, which came in at +0.7% above both market +0.4% and RBNZ +0.3% expectations. Whilst this is positive, when viewed in the context of GDP having fallen 2.2% over the preceding two quarters it looks more muted. We expect the RBNZ to look through this surprise as one data point does not make a trend, and inflation and sentiment indicators remain subdued. With nothing further to upset the RBNZ’s guidance of continued OCR cuts short term interest rates continued to move lower reflecting the accrual of expected cuts. 90-day bills fell 15.7bps to 3.598%, 6-month bills fell 9bps to 3.49% and 1-year swap fell 5.4bps to 3.351%.

As we enter April the short-term interest rate curve remains inverted from 90-days to 1-year, however we expect a return to a more normal upward sloping curve as the end of the easing cycle nears. Our attention now firmly turns to how long the OCR will remain at its lows. Historically this period has been around a year from the end of an easing cycle. Consistent with this we have been actively pursuing opportunities to extend duration.

Performance

Nikko AM Investment Scheme
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Performance 

at 31 March 2025
One month Three months One year Three years (p.a) Five years (p.a)
Fund performance1 0.37% 1.10% 5.61% 4.99% 3.41%
Appropriate Market Index (AMI)2 0.33% 1.03% 5.16% 4.71% 2.98%
  1. Returns are before tax and after the deduction of fees and expenses and including tax credits (if any).
  2. AMI: Bloomberg NZBond Bank Bill Index.

5 year cumulative performance $10,000 invested

Top 10 Holdings

Security Name Percentage
Housing NZ Ltd 3.36% 12/06/2025 8.94%
Westpac New Zealand 060726 Frn 4.60%
Westpac 45 Day Depo 3.87%
Rabobank Nederla 160326 Frn 3.71%
Asb Bank Limited 181027 Frn 3.42%
Mufg Bank Ltd Auckland Branch 241126 Frn 3.25%
New Zealand Tax Trading Co 280425 Rcd 3.22%
Transpower New Zealand Limited 260825 Pnote 3.13%
Industrial And Commercial Bank Of China Nzd 260525 Frn 2.96%
Bank Of New Zealand 280425 Rcd 2.90%
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